=== TVM TERMINAL LIVE ELECTIONS RANKING SHIFTS (Updated: 2026-08-18T09:31:13.405Z) ===
[RACE] US Midterms — Pennsylvania Senate Key Battleground (United States): Rank #8 -> #1 (+7) | VMS: 954/1000 | Status: SURGING | Stance: Toss-up (49–49)
[ELECTION] Sweden Riksdag General Election (Sweden): Rank #13 -> #2 (+11) | VMS: 941/1000 | Status: EXPLODING | Stance: Red-Green 48.4% vs Bloc 46.1%
[RACE] Georgia Gubernatorial Open Seat Contest (United States): Rank #7 -> #3 (+4) | VMS: 928/1000 | Status: SURGING | Stance: Lead +1.8% (50–48)
[ELECTION] UK Parliamentary Red Wall & Blue Wall Battlegrounds (United Kingdom): Rank #6 -> #4 (+2) | VMS: 916/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: Labour 41% vs Cons 28% vs Reform 19%
[ELECTION] Japan House of Representatives General Election (Japan): Rank #10 -> #5 (+5) | VMS: 905/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: LDP-Komeito 218 vs Opposition 247 seats
[ELECTION] France Presidential Election — Post-Macron Succession (France): Rank #5 -> #6 (-1) | VMS: 894/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: Runoff Model: RN 51% vs Center-Left 49%
[RACE] US Senate Michigan — Rust Belt Battleground (United States): Rank #13 -> #7 (+6) | VMS: 887/1000 | Status: SURGING | Stance: Lead +1.2% (50.6–49.4)
[ELECTION] Germany Bundestag Federal Election & Coalition Talks (Germany): Rank #11 -> #8 (+3) | VMS: 879/1000 | Status: SURGING | Stance: CDU/CSU 32% vs AfD 20% vs SPD 16%
[ELECTION] Brazil Presidential Election — Planalto Contest (Brazil): Rank #17 -> #9 (+8) | VMS: 872/1000 | Status: EXPLODING | Stance: Lula 44% vs Tarcísio 41% (Toss-up)
[ELECTION] Canada 45th Federal Election — House of Commons (Canada): Rank #11 -> #10 (+1) | VMS: 865/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: CPC 42% vs LPC 24% vs NDP 18%
[ELECTION] Australia Federal Election — House & Senate (Australia): Rank #15 -> #11 (+4) | VMS: 854/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: 2PP: Labor 50.5% vs Coalition 49.5%
[ELECTION] India Bihar Legislative Assembly Election (India): Rank #21 -> #12 (+9) | VMS: 848/1000 | Status: EXPLODING | Stance: NDA 124 vs Mahagathbandhan 119 seats
[RACE] US Senate Wisconsin — Dairy State Battleground (United States): Rank #16 -> #13 (+3) | VMS: 841/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: Lead +1.5% (50.5–49.0)
[ELECTION] South Korea 21st Presidential Election (South Korea): Rank #21 -> #14 (+7) | VMS: 835/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: DPK 46% vs PPP 38% vs Rebuilding Korea 12%
[ELECTION] Mexico Chamber of Deputies & Gubernatorial Midterms (Mexico): Rank #17 -> #15 (+2) | VMS: 828/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: Morena Coalition 54% vs Opposition 38%
[ELECTION] Taiwan 17th Presidential & Legislative Yuan Race (Taiwan): Rank #21 -> #16 (+5) | VMS: 821/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: DPP 40% vs KMT 34% vs TPP 22%
[RACE] South Africa Municipal & Metropolitan Elections (South Africa): Rank #25 -> #17 (+8) | VMS: 814/1000 | Status: EXPLODING | Stance: GNU Coalition 58% vs MK Party 22% vs EFF 12%
[ELECTION] Poland Presidential Election — Belweder Contest (Poland): Rank #21 -> #18 (+3) | VMS: 807/1000 | Status: SURGING | Stance: Runoff: Civic Coalition 52% vs PiS 48%
[RACE] US Senate Texas — Lone Star High-Turnout Battleground (United States): Rank #25 -> #19 (+6) | VMS: 801/1000 | Status: SURGING | Stance: Lead +3.4% (51.2–47.8)
[ELECTION] Turkey Presidential & Parliamentary Elections (Turkey): Rank #24 -> #20 (+4) | VMS: 794/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: CHP 42% vs AK Party 36% (Toss-up)
[ELECTION] Italy Chamber of Deputies General Election (Italy): Rank #26 -> #21 (+5) | VMS: 788/1000 | Status: EXPLODING | Stance: FdI-Lega-FI 45% vs PD 24%
[ELECTION] Spain Cortes Generales General Election (Spain): Rank #19 -> #22 (-3) | VMS: 782/1000 | Status: SURGING | Stance: PP 34% vs PSOE 30% vs Vox 13%
[ELECTION] Argentina National Congress Midterms (Argentina): Rank #26 -> #23 (+3) | VMS: 776/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: LLA 38% vs Peronism 32% vs PRO 15%
[RACE] Indonesia Regional Head Elections (Pilkada) (Indonesia): Rank #24 -> #24 (+0) | VMS: 770/1000 | Status: STABLE | Stance: KIM Plus 52% vs PDI-P 43%
[RACE] Philippines Senate & Congressional Midterms (Philippines): Rank #23 -> #25 (-2) | VMS: 763/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: Marcos Slate vs Duterte Slate (Split)
[RACE] US Senate Ohio — Heartland Manufacturing Contest (United States): Rank #30 -> #26 (+4) | VMS: 757/1000 | Status: EXPLODING | Stance: Lead +3.8% (51.8–48.0)
[ELECTION] Nigeria Presidential & National Assembly Race (Nigeria): Rank #27 -> #27 (+0) | VMS: 750/1000 | Status: SURGING | Stance: APC 39% vs LP 32% vs PDP 24%
[ELECTION] Kenya Presidential & Parliamentary Election (Kenya): Rank #30 -> #28 (+2) | VMS: 744/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: Ruto 47% vs Gen Z / Opposition 46%
[ELECTION] Chile Presidential Election — La Moneda Contest (Chile): Rank #30 -> #29 (+1) | VMS: 738/1000 | Status: STABLE | Stance: Matthei 46% vs Kast 32% vs Left 22%
[ELECTION] Colombia Presidential Election — Casa de Nariño (Colombia): Rank #32 -> #30 (+2) | VMS: 731/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: Opposition 51% vs Pacto Histórico 43%
[RACE] US Senate Arizona — Desert Swing Battleground (United States): Rank #29 -> #31 (-2) | VMS: 725/1000 | Status: EXPLODING | Stance: Lead +1.1% (49.8–48.7)
[RACE] US Senate Nevada — Silver State Service Workers (United States): Rank #34 -> #32 (+2) | VMS: 719/1000 | Status: SURGING | Stance: Lead +0.8% (49.4–48.6)
[ELECTION] Netherlands Tweede Kamer General Election (Netherlands): Rank #34 -> #33 (+1) | VMS: 712/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: PVV 32 seats vs GL-PvdA 26 seats
[RACE] US Senate North Carolina — Research Triangle Swing (United States): Rank #39 -> #34 (+5) | VMS: 706/1000 | Status: STABLE | Stance: Thom Tillis +2.2% vs Dem Challenge
[ELECTION] Israel 26th Knesset Parliamentary Election (Israel): Rank #38 -> #35 (+3) | VMS: 700/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: Opposition Bloc 64 vs Coalition 56 seats
[ELECTION] Singapore 15th General Election (Singapore): Rank #34 -> #36 (-2) | VMS: 693/1000 | Status: EXPLODING | Stance: PAP 62% vs WP 33%
[ELECTION] Pakistan National Assembly General Election (Pakistan): Rank #35 -> #37 (-2) | VMS: 687/1000 | Status: SURGING | Stance: PTI Independents vs PML-N/PPP Coalition
[ELECTION] Bangladesh Jatiya Sangsad National Election (Bangladesh): Rank #36 -> #38 (-2) | VMS: 681/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: Interim Consensus 65% vs BNP 25%
[ELECTION] Austria National Council Parliamentary Election (Austria): Rank #42 -> #39 (+3) | VMS: 675/1000 | Status: STABLE | Stance: FPÖ 29% vs ÖVP 26% vs SPÖ 21%
[ELECTION] Switzerland Federal Assembly National Council (Switzerland): Rank #42 -> #40 (+2) | VMS: 668/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: SVP 28.5% vs SP 18.0% vs FDP 14.5%
[ELECTION] Romania Presidential & Parliamentary Election (Romania): Rank #42 -> #41 (+1) | VMS: 662/1000 | Status: EXPLODING | Stance: Pro-EU Coalition 52% vs AUR 38%
[ELECTION] Egypt Presidential Election — Cairo Mandate (Egypt): Rank #43 -> #42 (+1) | VMS: 656/1000 | Status: SURGING | Stance: Incumbent Mandate 88%
[ELECTION] Ghana Presidential & Parliamentary Election (Ghana): Rank #48 -> #43 (+5) | VMS: 650/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: NDC 49% vs NPP 47% (Toss-up)
[ELECTION] Peru Presidential & Bicameral Congress Election (Peru): Rank #44 -> #44 (+0) | VMS: 643/1000 | Status: STABLE | Stance: Runoff: Keiko Fujimori 48% vs Antauro Humala 47%
[ELECTION] Vietnam 14th National Party Congress (Vietnam): Rank #45 -> #45 (+0) | VMS: 637/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: Four Pillars Consensus Model
[ELECTION] Thailand House of Representatives Election (Thailand): Rank #48 -> #46 (+2) | VMS: 631/1000 | Status: EXPLODING | Stance: People’s Party 42% vs Pheu Thai 29%
[ELECTION] Ireland Dáil Éireann Parliamentary Election (Ireland): Rank #44 -> #47 (-3) | VMS: 625/1000 | Status: SURGING | Stance: Fine Gael 26% vs Fianna Fáil 24% vs Sinn Féin 19%
[ELECTION] Belgium Chamber of Representatives Election (Belgium): Rank #50 -> #48 (+2) | VMS: 618/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: N-VA 22% vs Vlaams Belang 21% vs MR 18%
[ELECTION] Greece Hellenic Parliament General Election (Greece): Rank #54 -> #49 (+5) | VMS: 612/1000 | Status: STABLE | Stance: New Democracy 32% vs PASOK 20% vs SYRIZA 11%
[ELECTION] Portugal Assembly of the Republic Election (Portugal): Rank #51 -> #50 (+1) | VMS: 605/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: AD 31% vs PS 29% vs Chega 18%
[ELECTION] Czech Chamber of Deputies Election (Czech Republic): Rank #48 -> #51 (-3) | VMS: 600/1000 | Status: STABLE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Hungary National Assembly Parliamentary Race (Hungary): Rank #53 -> #52 (+1) | VMS: 598/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Norway Storting Parliamentary Election (Norway): Rank #51 -> #53 (-2) | VMS: 596/1000 | Status: FADING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Denmark Folketing Parliamentary Election (Denmark): Rank #57 -> #54 (+3) | VMS: 594/1000 | Status: DORMANT | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Finland Eduskunta Parliamentary Election (Finland): Rank #55 -> #55 (+0) | VMS: 592/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[RACE] Vienna City Council & Mayoral Election (Austria): Rank #59 -> #56 (+3) | VMS: 590/1000 | Status: STABLE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Morocco House of Representatives Election (Morocco): Rank #56 -> #57 (-1) | VMS: 588/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Algeria People’s National Assembly Election (Algeria): Rank #58 -> #58 (+0) | VMS: 586/1000 | Status: FADING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Tunisia Assembly of the Representatives Election (Tunisia): Rank #60 -> #59 (+1) | VMS: 584/1000 | Status: DORMANT | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Senegal National Assembly General Election (Senegal): Rank #61 -> #60 (+1) | VMS: 582/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Ivory Coast Presidential Election — Abidjan Mandate (Ivory Coast): Rank #60 -> #61 (-1) | VMS: 580/1000 | Status: STABLE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Ethiopia House of Peoples Representatives Election (Ethiopia): Rank #59 -> #62 (-3) | VMS: 578/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Uganda General Election — State House Contest (Uganda): Rank #64 -> #63 (+1) | VMS: 576/1000 | Status: FADING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Tanzania National Assembly & Presidential Election (Tanzania): Rank #63 -> #64 (-1) | VMS: 574/1000 | Status: DORMANT | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Zambia Presidential & National Assembly Election (Zambia): Rank #64 -> #65 (-1) | VMS: 572/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Ecuador Presidential & National Assembly Election (Ecuador): Rank #69 -> #66 (+3) | VMS: 570/1000 | Status: STABLE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Uruguay General Election Runoff & Legislative (Uruguay): Rank #66 -> #67 (-1) | VMS: 568/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Paraguay General Election — Asunción Contest (Paraguay): Rank #66 -> #68 (-2) | VMS: 566/1000 | Status: FADING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Bolivia General Presidential Election (Bolivia): Rank #71 -> #69 (+2) | VMS: 564/1000 | Status: DORMANT | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Costa Rica Presidential & Legislative Assembly (Costa Rica): Rank #70 -> #70 (+0) | VMS: 562/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Panama National Assembly & Municipal Election (Panama): Rank #72 -> #71 (+1) | VMS: 560/1000 | Status: STABLE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Dominican Republic Presidential & Senate Election (Dominican Republic): Rank #75 -> #72 (+3) | VMS: 558/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] El Salvador Legislative Assembly & Municipalities (El Salvador): Rank #72 -> #73 (-1) | VMS: 556/1000 | Status: FADING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Guatemala Congress & Presidential Succession (Guatemala): Rank #75 -> #74 (+1) | VMS: 554/1000 | Status: DORMANT | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] New Zealand 55th Parliament General Election (New Zealand): Rank #74 -> #75 (-1) | VMS: 552/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Malaysia 16th General Election (GE16) (Malaysia): Rank #73 -> #76 (-3) | VMS: 550/1000 | Status: STABLE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Sri Lanka 17th Parliament General Election (Sri Lanka): Rank #75 -> #77 (-2) | VMS: 548/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Nepal House of Representatives Election (Nepal): Rank #77 -> #78 (-1) | VMS: 546/1000 | Status: FADING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Kazakhstan Mazhilis & Presidential Mandate (Kazakhstan): Rank #81 -> #79 (+2) | VMS: 544/1000 | Status: DORMANT | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Uzbekistan Oliy Majlis Legislative Chamber (Uzbekistan): Rank #77 -> #80 (-3) | VMS: 542/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[RACE] California Gubernatorial Open Seat 2026 (United States): Rank #80 -> #81 (-1) | VMS: 540/1000 | Status: STABLE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[RACE] Florida Gubernatorial Succession 2026 (United States): Rank #81 -> #82 (-1) | VMS: 538/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[RACE] Ohio Gubernatorial Open Seat 2026 (United States): Rank #82 -> #83 (-1) | VMS: 536/1000 | Status: FADING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[RACE] New York City Mayoral Primary & General 2025 (United States): Rank #84 -> #84 (+0) | VMS: 534/1000 | Status: DORMANT | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[RACE] Texas Gubernatorial Election 2026 (United States): Rank #88 -> #85 (+3) | VMS: 532/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] US House New York 19th & 17th Hudson Valley (United States): Rank #87 -> #86 (+1) | VMS: 530/1000 | Status: STABLE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] US House California 13th & 22nd Central Valley (United States): Rank #89 -> #87 (+2) | VMS: 528/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[RACE] US Senate Montana 2030 (United States): Rank #90 -> #88 (+2) | VMS: 526/1000 | Status: FADING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[RACE] US Senate West Virginia 2030 (United States): Rank #90 -> #89 (+1) | VMS: 524/1000 | Status: DORMANT | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[RACE] US Senate Ohio 2030 (United States): Rank #88 -> #90 (-2) | VMS: 522/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[RACE] Mayor of London Election 2028 (United Kingdom): Rank #89 -> #91 (-2) | VMS: 520/1000 | Status: STABLE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Scottish Parliament General Election 2026 (United Kingdom): Rank #94 -> #92 (+2) | VMS: 518/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Senedd Welsh Parliament Election 2026 (United Kingdom): Rank #95 -> #93 (+2) | VMS: 516/1000 | Status: FADING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Bavaria Landtag State Election 2028 (Germany): Rank #93 -> #94 (-1) | VMS: 514/1000 | Status: DORMANT | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] North Rhine-Westphalia Landtag State Election 2027 (Germany): Rank #97 -> #95 (+2) | VMS: 512/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] New South Wales State Election 2027 (Australia): Rank #95 -> #96 (-1) | VMS: 510/1000 | Status: STABLE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Queensland State Election 2028 (Australia): Rank #97 -> #97 (+0) | VMS: 508/1000 | Status: RISING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Ontario General Provincial Election 2026 (Canada): Rank #101 -> #98 (+3) | VMS: 506/1000 | Status: FADING | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] Quebec National Assembly Election 2026 (Canada): Rank #99 -> #99 (+0) | VMS: 504/1000 | Status: DORMANT | Stance: Competitive (48–46)
[ELECTION] British Columbia Legislative Assembly 2028 (Canada): Rank #98 -> #100 (-2) | VMS: 502/1000 | Status: VOLATILE | Stance: Competitive (48–46)